اولویت‌بندی راهکارهای ارتقای بهره‌وری آب کشاورزی با استفاده از تصمیم‌گیری چندمعیاره به روش تحلیل سلسله‌مراتبی و تحلیل شبکه‌ای در استان کرمانشاه

نویسندگان
1 عضو هیات علمی گروه مهندسی آب دانشگاه رازی
2 دانشجوی دکتری گروه مهندسی آب دانشگاه رازی
10.22034/wmji.2025.2056931.1107
چکیده
در سال‌های اخیر افزایش بهره‌وری آب کشاورزی به‌عنوان راهبردی برای ایجاد تعادل بین منابع و مصارف آب، موردتوجه سیاست‌گذاران و کارشناسان حوضه آب قرارگرفته است. در سند ملی امنیت غذایی، بهره‌وری آب به‌عنوان یکی از شاخص‌های مهم مورد تأکید قرارگرفته است. بیلان مصرف آب زیرزمینی در استان کرمانشاه منفی بوده و کسری تجمعی مخازن آب زیرزمینی بیش از یک میلیارد مترمکعب است. در این میان، مدیریت مصرف آب در بخش کشاورزی که بخش عمده‌ای از مصارف آب در ایران و جهان را نیز شامل می‌شود، می‌تواند مؤثر و راهگشا باشد. بدیهی است که یکی از مقدمات مدیریت مصرف آب در بخش کشاورزی، شناسایی شاخص‌های اصلی مدیریت مصرف آب و تعیین این شاخص به روش‌های مناسب است. تصمیم‌گیری صحیح برای جبران فشار وارده بر منابع آب استان نیازمند شناخت راهکارها و اولویت‌بندی آن‌ها و پس‌ازآن در پیش گرفتن سیاست درست برای حل مسئله است. در این مطالعه ابتدا معیارها و گزینه‌های موردنظر برای رسیدن به هدف ارتقای بهره‌وری آب کشاورزی شناسایی و سپس با استفاده از روش‌های تصمیم‌گیری چندمعیاره روش تحلیل سلسله‌مراتبی و تحلیل شبکه‌ای در محیط نرم‌افزار سوپر دسیژن مقایسه، وزن‌دهی و اولویت‌بندی شدند. نتایج تحقیق نشان داد اولویت‌بندی به روش تحلیل سلسله‌مراتبی و تحلیل شبکه‌ای با هم متفاوت بوده و در روش تحلیل سلسله‌مراتبی گزینه‌های تحویل حجمی آب، آموزش کشاورزان و کاهش ضایعات محصولات کشاورزی به ترتیب بیش‌ترین وزن و در روش تحلیل شبکه‌ای گزینه‌های آموزش کشاورزان، واقعی کردن قیمت محصولات کشاورزی و تحویل حجمی آب به ترتیب رتبه‌های اول تا سوم را به خود اختصاص دادند.
کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله English

Prioritizing strategies to improve agricultural water productivity using multi-criteria decision-making using the analysis hierarchy method (AHP) and network analysis (ANP) in Kermanshah province (Iran)

نویسندگان English

Maryam Hafezparast Mavaddat 1
Sadi Fathi 2
1 Faculty member of Razi University
2 PhD student of water engineering, Razi University
چکیده English

Document, water productivity is emphasized as one of the key indicators. The groundwater balance in Kermanshah Province is negative, with accumulated deficits in groundwater reservoirs exceeding one billion cubic meters. In this context, managing water consumption in agriculture—which constitutes a significant portion of water usage in Iran and globally—can be effective and offer solutions. Clearly, one of the prerequisites for managing water consumption in agriculture is identifying the main indicators of water management and determining these indicators using appropriate methods. Making informed decisions to address the pressure on the province's water resources requires recognizing potential solutions, prioritizing them, and adopting appropriate policies to resolve the issue. In this study, the relevant criteria and options for achieving the goal of improving agricultural water productivity were first identified. Subsequently, they were compared, weighted, and prioritized using multi-criteria decision-making methods, specifically the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Analytic Network Process (ANP), within the Super Decisions software environment. The results showed that the prioritization differed between the AHP and ANP methods. In the AHP method, the options of volumetric water delivery, farmer training, and reduction of agricultural product waste received the highest weights, respectively. In contrast, in the ANP method, the options of farmer training, realistic pricing of agricultural products, and volumetric water delivery ranked first to third, respectively.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Agricultural Water Productivity
Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP)
Analytic Network Process (ANP)
Multi-Criteria Decision Making
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